Overview:
The Edmonton Oilers took control of the series with a dominant Game 3 performance behind Connor McDavid’s breakout night, and they now look to push the Dallas Stars to the brink. Game 4 shifts the spotlight back to Rogers Place, where the Oilers are 5-1 this postseason and thriving offensively.
Stars vs Oilers Best Bet: Connor McDavid Over 1.5 Points (-115 at BET99)
McDavid finally broke the seal in Game 3 with two goals and was on the ice for three total Edmonton tallies. His playoff form has been elite — 22 points in 14 games — and he’s produced multiple points in 4 of 6 home games.
Coach Kris Knoblauch has strategically limited McDavid’s minutes against shutdown defenseman Miro Heiskanen, and the results speak for themselves. With last change again on home ice, expect #97 to feast against softer matchups.
Key Stats:
- Home Points/Game (2025 Playoffs): 1.83
- Shots For w/ McDavid on ice (Game 3): 25
- Career Playoff PPG: 1.58
He’s simply the most dangerous player on the planet — and right now, he’s motivated by a return trip to the Cup Final.
Same-Game Parlay (+220 at BET99):
- Connor McDavid Over 1.5 Points
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Over 0.5 Points
- Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 Points
- RNH has 16 playoff points and is thriving on the top line with McDavid. He’s scored in all 3 games this series.
- Bouchard, quarterbacking the power play and trailing McDavid on most shifts, has 5 points in the series and 17 overall.
This trio forms the heart of Edmonton’s elite offensive engine.
Stars vs Oilers Odds (via BET99):
| Team | Moneyline | Puck Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stars (DAL) | +135 | +1.5 (-180) | o/u 6.5 (+105/-125) |
| Oilers (EDM) | -155 | -1.5 (+155) | o/u 6.5 (+105/-125) |
Public Betting Trends:
- 69% of action is on the Oilers
- Total opened at 6.5 goals, with slight lean to the Under
Notable Trend:
- Bouchard has registered a point in 9 of his last 10 games vs. Dallas
Pro Picks AI Final Score Prediction:
Oilers 5, Stars 2
Edmonton’s top trio stays hot, McDavid produces again, and the Oilers take a commanding 3-1 lead back to Dallas.