Date: Sunday, May 25, 2025
Start Time: 3:00 PM ET
Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
Broadcast: ABC, ESPN+, CBC, SN
The Western Conference Final between the Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars heads to Alberta tied 1-1, and Sunday afternoon’s Game 3 could be the turning point. After a dominating 3-0 win in Dallas, the Oilers return to their high-powered home rink where they’ve been electric all postseason. Our Pro Picks AI model has dissected the momentum, metrics, and matchups to bring you our best prediction and top betting angles.
Pro Picks AI Prediction
- Best Bet: Edmonton Oilers Moneyline (-160)
- Secondary Play: Over 6 Goals (-120)
Why the Oilers Have the Edge
Edmonton has been nearly unstoppable at home this postseason, posting a 4-1 record while averaging over four goals per game at Rogers Place. The Oilers looked like the better team in Game 2 from puck drop to final horn, dominating high-danger chances and shutting down Dallas’ top scorers.
Goaltender Stuart Skinner was the story of Game 2, recording his third shutout in four games and stopping all 25 shots he faced. When Skinner is locked in, few teams can crack the Oilers’ armor.
Meanwhile, Connor McDavid continues to be the most productive player in the playoffs, leading all skaters with 17 assists. He’s also been a volume shooter at home, averaging over five shots per game in Edmonton. With the series tied and momentum shifting, expect the captain to put his stamp on Game 3.
Stars Facing Key Questions
Dallas is 2-4 on the road in the playoffs and has been outscored 22-9 in those games. The potential absence of Roope Hintz, who left Game 2 with a foot injury, only worsens their chances. The Stars’ top line has struggled to gain traction, and they’ve been blanked in four of their last six road playoff losses.
Their power play has sputtered, their shooting percentage is under 5%, and Jake Oettinger has faced relentless pressure. Unless Dallas finds a spark early, this game could get away from them quickly.
Betting Trends to Watch
- Edmonton is 4-1 at home in the playoffs.
- Dallas is 2-4 on the road, shut out in four of those losses.
- Oilers have covered -1.5 in three of last five at home.
- Last 6 Oilers Game 3s have all gone Over 6 goals.
Player Prop Spotlight
- Connor McDavid Over 3.5 Shots: He’s cleared this in all 5 home playoff games.
- Stuart Skinner Under 26.5 Saves: The Oilers are dominating puck possession, limiting opponents’ SOG totals.
Final Word
With a raucous home crowd behind them and all the advanced metrics leaning Edmonton’s way, Game 3 is theirs to lose. Expect a high-event game with McDavid shining, Skinner standing tall, and the Oilers pushing for a commanding series lead.
Prediction: Oilers 4, Stars 2
Best Bet: Oilers ML -160
Bonus Play: Over 6 Goals (-120)