🏀 Knicks vs. Pacers Game 3 Prediction, Odds & Best Bets
Eastern Conference Finals • Sunday, May 25, 2025 • Tip-Off: 8:00 PM ET
Eastern Conference Finals | Game 3
Tip-Off: 8:00 PM ET | TV: TNT / truTV / Max
📍 Gainbridge Fieldhouse – Indianapolis, IN
🔥 Pro Picks AI Game 3 Prediction:
After falling short in Games 1 and 2 at home, the New York Knicks (+115 ML) head to Indiana with their season on the line. History shows no team has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit—expect Game 3 to be treated like a Game 7.
But there’s a twist. While all signs seem to favor a desperate Knicks bounce-back, Indiana’s dominance at home is no fluke. The Pacers were 30-11 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in the regular season and are 5-1 at home this postseason. Their only home playoff loss? Game 3 vs. Cleveland, after a 2-0 lead—exactly where they are now.
That loss is likely fueling Indiana tonight. Head coach Rick Carlisle has already learned this lesson: you can’t take your foot off the gas when a team is cornered. That’s why many sharp bettors are actually sticking with the Pacers (-130 ML) to defend home court once more.
🎯 AI Best Bets for Game 3
✅ Knicks Moneyline (+115 at Bet365) – New York is 5-1 SU on the road this postseason
✅ Over 223.5 (-110) – Pacers have gone over this line in 4 straight home games
✅ Mitchell Robinson Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds – Hit in 5 of last 10, trending up
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📊 Game 3 Public Betting Splits
- Spread: 67% of ATS handle on the Knicks (+2.5)
- Moneyline: 75% of handle on the Pacers (-130)
- Total: 96% of bettors on Over 223.5
This is one of the heaviest public Overs of the playoffs. When everyone’s looking up, could the Under sneak in?
🧠 Pro Picks AI Player Prop Angles
| Player | Line | Value Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 31.5 PTS | Over -110 – 43 & 36 points in Games 1 & 2 |
| Pascal Siakam | 21.5 PTS | Under -125 – Cleared this just once in last 9 |
| Mitchell Robinson | 12.5 P+R | Over – 29 minutes last game, dominating glass |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 9.5 AST | Over -115 – 11 assists in both Games 1 & 2 |
🛠 Odds Comparison – Get the Best Line
| Bet Type | Knicks | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-115) @ BetMGM | -1.5 (-115) @ ESPN |
| Moneyline | +115 @ Bet365 | -130 @ DraftKings |
| Total | O/U 223.5 (-110) @ All major books |
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🧩 Knicks vs. Pacers Matchup Breakdown & Trends
🔄 Recent Head-to-Head History
- Pacers lead the current playoff series 2-0
- Indiana is 4-2 SU and ATS in the last 6 meetings vs. New York (including regular season & playoffs)
- The Over has hit in 5 of the last 7 meetings
- Pacers have won 3 straight vs. Knicks overall and 2 straight by 8+ points
🏀 Team Stat Comparisons (Playoffs 2025)
| Stat Category | Knicks (Playoffs) | Pacers (Playoffs) |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 106.2 | 113.9 |
| FG % | 44.1% | 48.3% |
| 3P % | 33.2% | 37.4% |
| Rebounds Per Game | 44.3 | 41.7 |
| Turnovers Per Game | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| Defensive Rating | 107.6 | 112.8 |
Edge:
- Knicks have a slight edge defensively and on the glass.
- Pacers are significantly more efficient offensively and from deep.
🧨 Key X-Factors for Game 3
🔶 New York Knicks
- Jalen Brunson has scored 30+ in 9 of his last 11 playoff games, but he’s averaging over 43 minutes per night — fatigue could be a factor.
- Mitchell Robinson has come alive on the boards. His offensive rebounding will be crucial against Indiana’s smaller lineups.
- Bench depth is a concern — outside of Miles McBride, production has been inconsistent.
🔷 Indiana Pacers
- Tyrese Haliburton has 22 assists through the first two games and is finally healthy. He’s the engine that fuels Indiana’s high-tempo attack.
- Pascal Siakam is coming off his best playoff game of the year (39 points) but may regress toward his playoff average (20.3 PPG).
- Indiana’s pace is top-3 in the playoffs. If they control tempo early, New York could struggle to match scoring runs.
🧭 Game 3 Intangibles
- Experience: Knicks are battle-tested, having reached the second round last year, but the Pacers have home-court confidence and continuity from eliminating New York in 2024.
- Momentum: Pacers have won 4 straight playoff games entering tonight and have scored 115+ in 3 of those.
- Coaching Adjustments: Rick Carlisle has outmaneuvered Tom Thibodeau with better offensive schemes, but Thibs is known for key Game 3 bounce-backs.
📅 Knicks vs Pacers Series Timeline
| Game | Date | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Game 1 | May 21 | Pacers 113, Knicks 111 (OT) |
| Game 2 | May 23 | Pacers 116, Knicks 106 |
| Game 3 | May 25 | In Progress Tonight |
| Game 4 | May 27 | TBD |
| Game 5 (if needed) | May 29 | TBD |
📢 Final Matchup Takeaway:
The Pacers are deeper, faster, and playing with supreme confidence — but the Knicks are desperate, experienced, and gritty. The winner of Game 3 will likely dictate the rest of this series. With the total climbing and both teams capable of offensive surges, bettors should also keep a close eye on live in-game Over opportunities.
📺 How to Watch Knicks vs Pacers Game 3
- 📍 Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, IN)
- 📆 Date: Sunday, May 25, 2025
- 🕗 Tip-Off: 8:00 PM ET
- 📺 TV: TNT, truTV, Max
📣 Final Word from Pro Picks AI
The Knicks are desperate, and they’ve been money on the road… but the Pacers have experience in this exact spot and know better than to let up. This game could come down to who controls pace early.
Official AI Lean: Pacers ML + Over 223.5 + Mitchell Robinson Over 12.5 P+R
Same-Game Parlay Odds: +575
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