Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction: Pitchers Poised to Dominate

First Pitch: Monday, May 26, 2025 — 4:05 PM ET (Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX)

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays have been a rollercoaster in 2025, and after a promising sweep of the Padres, they stumbled with three losses to Tampa Bay, scoring just two total runs. Now, they face a Texas Rangers squad led by a resurgent Jacob deGrom in what looks to be a classic pitcher’s duel.

Pitching Matchup

Kevin Gausman (TOR): The veteran righty is coming off seven shutout innings with nine strikeouts. He holds a 3.79 xERA and has struck out 24.4% of batters. With his splitter working and an opponent struggling against RHP, he’s in a strong spot to deliver again.

Jacob deGrom (TEX): The two-time Cy Young winner is back in form. He hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in his last seven starts and holds a 1.66 ERA over that stretch. His strikeout rate sits at 30.4%, and he’s limiting opponents to a .217 xBA.

Offensive Struggles

Toronto ranks 21st in average and 25th in OPS against righties. Their top-heavy lineup has shown inconsistency, and facing deGrom could be a tall order. Meanwhile, Texas also struggles against right-handed pitching, ranking bottom-five in average, OPS, and wRC+.

Best Bet: Under 7.0 Total Runs (-133)

With two elite arms, both facing underwhelming offenses, the Under is the play. Gausman and deGrom should control the game early, and with Toronto’s patient approach and deGrom’s command, expect limited scoring opportunities.

Same-Game Parlay (+700)

• Under 7.5 Runs: A safer total with parlay value.
• Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 Strikeouts: He’s hit this mark in 6 of his last 8 starts.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Runs: Leads the team in runs scored and has crossed the plate in 18 of his last 23 games.

Final Word

Expect a chess match between two of baseball’s better arms. The Blue Jays and Rangers both struggle to string together consistent offense against right-handers. This game is tailor-made for Under bettors, and there’s solid value in Gausman props and Vladdy’s consistency scoring runs.