⚾ Blue Jays vs. Rays Prediction, Prop Picks & Best Bets – May 25, 2025
MLB Player Props | Sunday, May 25 • First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET • Steinbrenner Field (Tampa, FL)
Featured AI Prop Pick: Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Singles (-140 at BetVictor)
🔍 Game Overview
The Toronto Blue Jays aim to avoid a series sweep against the Tampa Bay Rays this afternoon, and they’ll turn to reliable righty Chris Bassitt to stop the slide. Our model highlights value in the prop market around one of Toronto’s most consistent hitters — Alejandro Kirk.
🎯 Best Bet: Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Singles (-140)
Kirk is one of the premier contact hitters in the AL this season, and he enters today riding a 3-game hit streak with a .333 average over his last 20 games — including 20 singles. He’s also batting .296 in xBA and ranks in the 89th percentile in plate discipline.
He’s already seen Tampa starter Ryan Pepiot recently and had success: 2-for-3 with a home run and a single on May 14. Pepiot allows a high contact rate and is in the 20th percentile in xBA allowed (.273). With Kirk locked in and facing a familiar arm, the single prop holds high value.
💥 Pro Picks AI SGP (+250 at BetVictor)
- Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Singles
- Ryan Pepiot Under 5.5 Strikeouts
- Blue Jays Moneyline
📊 Player Prop Trends
- Kirk has 20 singles in his last 20 games (.333 AVG)
- Pepiot has gone Under 5.5 Ks in 4 of his last 5 starts
- Blue Jays have the 3rd lowest K-rate in MLB (19.5%)
- Rays have lost 4 straight Pepiot starts
📈 Game Odds (via BetVictor)
| Team | Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | -118 | O 8.5 (-133) | -1.5 (+130) |
| Tampa Bay Rays | -118 | U 8.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-200) |
📺 How to Watch
- Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field – Tampa, FL
- Date: Sunday, May 25, 2025
- First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET
- TV: Sportsnet (Canada), MLB Network (U.S.)
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Final Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Rays 3
With the better starter on the mound, a bounce-back spot after two losses, and a matchup advantage for contact hitters like Kirk, this is a strong opportunity for Toronto to steal one. Fade Pepiot’s Ks, back Kirk’s bat, and give the Blue Jays the edge today.
Pro Picks AI Confidence: ✅ Kirk Single | ✅ Pepiot Under Ks | ✅ Jays ML
Backed by trends. Powered by models. Trusted by bettors. — Pro Picks AI